Essential Reading! Get my 3rd book: Eat Their Lunch “The first ever playbook for B2B salespeople on how to win clients and customers who are already being serviced by your competition.” Buy Now Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 57:58 — 53.2MB)Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Android | Email | Google Podcasts | RSS“Stages of development” is a term you hear more in the philosophical and psychological realms than you do in the business realm. But Anthony has come to believe that a better understanding of human development and these “stages” we go through in our growth is very beneficial for sales and business leaders. This episode is a deep dive into psychological and philosophical theories surrounding this idea of “stages of development.” Anthony’s aim is to help you better understand yourself as a business or sales leader and to better know your team members and clients, so that you can better help your customers and work with your team, for greater success.Ken Wilber on Stages of Development and How They Show Up in The Business World – Episode #69Click To TweetWhat IS consciousness?Anthony starts this conversation with Ken Wilber by asking perhaps the deepest question of all: “What IS consciousness?” On one hand, Ken says that defining consciousness is not all that difficult. In his thinking, anytime you are aware of something, conscious of something, you’re experiencing consciousness. For most of us, it is primarily associated with the “I” dimension of how we think about the world; the things we think about in relationship to ourselves. But there are others that think of consciousness in terms of “it.” It’s an objective structure of thinking that is strictly related to brain function and physiological process. On this episode Anthony chats with Ken about the reality of consciousness and how our thinking about it impacts the way we approach relationships with others – which can dramatically impact sales.Understanding the stages of growth can help you discern your customer’s motives and goals.Philosophers and psychologists categorize human development into stages of growth and try to label them in ways that describe what’s going on in the human psyche during that stage. For example, there are stages of growth that are entirely focused on the self, others that expand to include a concern about immediate community, and then even further during another stage to think about the broader world. As a sales or business leader, if you’re able to discern how your customer is thinking (which of those stages of growth they are operating out of), you’ll be better able to address the concerns they are likely to have as you interact about your sales solution.Understanding the stages of growth can help you discern your customer’s motives and goalsClick To TweetDo you understand where your team members are at in their developmental growth?If you can make that leap and begin to grasp their motivations and desires (based on their stage of growth) you’ll be able to lead them, motivate them, and energize them more effectively through the messaging, encouragement, and coaching you provide. That’s because you’ll have the ability to tailor your approach to each person to best fit into their view of the world at that time. You can hear this deep dive conversation about personal and cultural development as Anthony chats with Ken Wilber, on this episode.How we see the stages of development showing up in the business world.The importance of understanding the stages of development that people go through not only has to do with how to lead better, but also how to BE a better leader. For example, If a leader is stuck in an egocentric stage of growth they’ll clearly be leveraging things to their own advantage, which could impact the health and success of the company and clients. It’s an incredibly in depth conversation on this episode but is also filled with practical insights into the way people grow and interact with others. If you’ll take this one seriously it will put you way ahead of the competition on a number of different levels.How we see the stages of growth showing up in the business worldClick To TweetOutline of this great episode Anthony’s introduction with Ken Wilber, philosopher, author, and teacher. What is consciousness? – and thinking about the structures of consciousness. Research showing how the “I’ aspect of consciousness grows and develops. 4 major stages of hierarchical growth. The common structures of development that business leaders should know. The stages of growing up: 8 levels of growth. Understanding how the stages of development show up in the business world.Our Sponsors:Swag IQwww.PreOrder.TheOnlySalesGuide.com – Get bonuses with Anthony’s new book.Resources & Links mentioned in this episodeMaslow’s Hierarchy of Needs0674445449The theme song “Into the Arena” is written and produced by Chris Sernel. You can find it on SoundcloudConnect with AnthonyWebsite: www.TheSalesBlog.comYoutube: www.Youtube.com/IannarinoFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/iannarinoTwitter: https://twitter.com/iannarinoGoogle Plus: https://plus.google.com/+SAnthonyIannarinoLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/iannarinoTweets you can use to share this episodeWhat IS consciousness? – get the answer on this episodeClick To TweetDo you understand where your team members are at in their developmental growth?Click To TweetSubscribe toIn the ArenaApple PodcastsGoogle PodcastsAndroidby EmailRSSOr subscribe with your favorite app by using the address below
Get the Free eBook! Learn how to sell without a sales manager. Download my free eBook! You need to make sales. You need help now. We’ve got you covered. This eBook will help you Seize Your Sales Destiny, with or without a manager. Download Now Tom PetersI didn’t read In Search for Excellence. By the time Tom Peters came into my awareness, he had just written The Circle of Innovation. It was through this book, published in 1997, that I came to understand that we live an accelerating, disruptive age and that one must adapt, again and again and again.From Circle, I went backwards to Thriving on Chaos, and then forward to The Brand You 50, The Professional Service Firm 50, and The Project 50, before reading Re-Imagine years later. No one has shaped my thinking about business and doing purposeful, meaningful work more than Tom Peters.Stephen CoveyI am not sure when I first picked up The Seven Habits of Highly Effective People by Stephen Covey, but I was young. What I discovered was that everything was my fault, and that if I wanted to change the relationships I had with other people, I had to change first. I’d love to tell you that the lesson stuck on the first reading. Or the fifth reading. But it took quite a while longer than I would have liked.It is easy to understand the ideas in The Seven Habits intellectually. It is something different to make them your own.From there, I read and studied First Things First and Principle-Based Leadership. There I learned even more about my responsibility to use my time to do meaningful work and the charge a leader must keep.Neil RackhamI have read countless books on selling. I have taken something from almost every one of them. But no work has been more influential, and none has helped me succeed in sales more than two books from Neil Rackham. The first, naturally, is SPIN Selling. Two ideas changed everything about how I sold. First, I started working on gaining an advance in every sales call. Second, I started to focus like a laser beam on the implications of not changing. Upon making these changes, selling became easier for me, and my personal sales took off. So much so, I ended up leading a team.Rackham’s follow up, Major Account Sales Strategy, had an even more profound impact on my thinking. This book never got the accolades it deserved. That book helped me win multi-million dollar deals, and the principles in that book are deeply ingrained in how I think about sales and selling.There are a lot of people who have done good work here, but for me, it’s Rackham first.Ken WilberIt is important to understand your world. If you like that kind of thing, then maybe you want to understand the Universe, and everything in it. Ken Wilber is a philosopher, but for me, he is far more than that. He is a friend, and a teacher.I found his books A Theory of Everything and A Brief History of Everything, before stumbling into Sex, Ecology, and Spirituality (if you pick this book up, you are on your own).Ken’s great work is a framework into which you can fit all other frameworks. It is master key for understanding human behavior, human cultural evolution, and the development of human psychology. His work is a synthesis of a lot of other’s work, including philosophers, scientists, developmental psychologists, and spiritual teachers.I only discovered Ken’s work a few years ago, but it has made positive changes in the way I view much of my work, and even more positive ways how I view other people.
It’s out. After a celebrity-studded premiere in London, Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone will be released in 1,000 cinema halls in the UK and about 4,000 halls across the US on November 16. But the biggest international release of the Warner Bros will reach India only next summer. The,It’s out. After a celebrity-studded premiere in London, Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone will be released in 1,000 cinema halls in the UK and about 4,000 halls across the US on November 16. But the biggest international release of the Warner Bros will reach India only next summer. The film about the boy wizard and his adventures at the Hogwarts School of Witchcraft and Wizardry has the approval of author J.K. Rowling. The movie is just as she had imagined it, she says.Director Chris Columbus (of Home Alone fame) and producer David Heyman really pushed the envelope on this $125-million-budget film.Warner’s Wizard: J.K. Rowling and Daniel Radcliffe flanked by fellow actors at the London premiere; (left) a poster of the filmThey spent months, for instance, on a nine-minute scene of Quidditch – the sport that Hogwarts wizards play on turbo-powered broomsticks. The meticulousness extended to the search for a child actor to play Potter. Daniel Radcliffe, 12, became “the luckiest boy in the world”. Richard Harris plays Principal Albus Dumbledore and John Cleese appears as the amiable ghost Nearly Headless Nick. About 5,60,000 tickets have already been sold in the UK, collecting more than 1 million pounds. Harry Potter books have sold more than 100 million in 46 languages across the world. The first book sold 50,000 copies in India, while total sales amount to about 1,95,000, says distributor Penguin India.Not surprisingly, Rowling is now the second richest woman in the UK (No.1 is pop star Madonna, who is really American) with an income of 36.2 million dollars (Rs 173.7 crore).advertisementAnd more is on cards next year: the fifth book, Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix.Rowling and Radcliffe flanked by fellow actors at the London premiere; (left) a poster of the film
UNC Notice Of Allegations UNC/TwitterNorth Carolina, which had been served a notice of allegations back on May 20 relating to an academic fraud investigation, has released the NCAA’s findings this afternoon. The organization is alleging five major violations. Each of them are considered “Level 1” – severe breaches of conduct. The Notice Of Allegations includes 325 pieces of “Factual Information” relating to the case.You can read the entire 59-page NOA here. If you’re looking for a summary of the major violations, we’ve listed them below. Per the NCAA:1. It is alleged that beginning in the 2002 fall semester and continuing through the 2011 summer semester, the institution provided impermissible benefits to student-athletes that were not generally available to the student body. 2. It is alleged that from April 2007 to July 2010, Jan Boxill (Boxill), then philosophy instructor, director of the Parr Center for Ethics, women’s basketball athletic academic counselor in the Academic Support Program for Student-Athletes (ASPSA) and chair of the faculty, knowingly provided extra benefits in the form of impermissible academic assistance and special arrangements to women’s basketball student-athletes. 3. It is alleged that in 2014 and 2015, Deborah Crowder (Crowder), former student services manager in the African and Afro-American Studies department, violated the NCAA principles of ethical conduct when she failed to furnish information relevant to an investigation of possible violations of NCAA legislation when requested to do so by the NCAA enforcement staff and the institution. Specifically, Crowder refused to participate in an interview with both the institution and the enforcement staff despite at least three requests for her participation. 4. It is alleged that in 2014 and 2015, Dr. Julius Nyang’oro (Nyang’oro), former professor and chair of the African and Afro-American Studies department, violated the NCAA principles of ethical conduct when he failed to furnish information relevant to an investigation of possible violations of NCAA legislation when requested to do so by the enforcement staff and the institution. Specifically, Nyang’oro refused to participate in an interview with both the institution and the enforcement staff despite at least five requests for his participation. 5. It is alleged that the scope and nature of the violations set forth in Allegation Nos. 1 and 2 demonstrate that the institution violated the NCAA principles of institutional control and rules compliance when it failed to monitor the activities of Jan Boxill (Boxill), then philosophy instructor, director of the Parr Center for Ethics, women’s basketball athletics academic counselor in the Academic Support Program for Student-Athletes (ASPSA) and chair of the faculty. Further, the institution exhibited a lack of institutional control in regard to the special arrangements constituting impermissible benefits athletics academic counselors and staff within African and Afro-American Studies (AFRI/AFAM) department provided to student-athletes. North Carolina has 90 days from the issuance of the allegations to respond. Director of Athletics Bubba Cunningham is expected to address the alleged violations during a press conference at 1:30 PM ET.
Auburn defensive coordinator Will Muschamp is known for his sideline intensity. That intensity boiled over and got him in trouble just now during the Iron Bowl showdown with Alabama. After Auburn defender Jonathan Ford was penalized 15 yards for a late hit, Muschamp lost his mind on the official and was docked an additional 15 yards. Muschamp wasn’t done either. After the drive ended in an Adam Griffith field goal to give the Tide a 22-13 lead, Muschamp sought out the ref he previously blasted and gave him another earful. WATCH: Auburn DC Will Muschamp goes ballistic, has to be held back as he tells the ref: “I want a fair game.” pic.twitter.com/LE8VdhY3zj— Alex Byington (@abyingtonTD) November 28, 2015He’s clearly very unhappy.
Instagram/therockDwayne “The Rock” Johnson became famous for his time in the WWE, and later on, his hit movies, but first he played football at Miami. The Rock continues to be a big Hurricanes supporter. Miami gets knocked for its fan support at times, but the ‘Canes definite have their diehards, and today, The Rock proved it with a pretty crazy Instagram video. According to his caption, a pair of ‘Canes fans followed The Rock for miles, and got out of their car in heavy traffic to have him autograph a poster. Oh, and to throw up “The U.”Luckily for them, The Rock is an awesome guy, so he complied. We’re not sure all legendary former athletes would be so gracious.
40:12Stephen Gostkowski kicks onside 6 yards, recovered by Shiloh Keo and returned for 3 yards-16.4% 42:303rd & 6Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Danny Amendola (defended by Kayvon Webster). DEN challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was upheld.-7.3% 27:463rd & 3Tom Brady sacked by DeMarcus Ware and Von Miller for -6 yards-6.4% 32:484th & 11Britton Colquitt punts 53 yards-4.6% 413:393rd & 1C.J. Anderson left tackle for 30 yards (tackle by Devin McCourty)-9.7% 42:332nd & 1Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for James White-4.2% Did you hear? Stephen Gostkowski, FiveThirtyEight’s Football Player of the Year,1Who actually uses his feet missed his first extra point since his rookie season, and it cost the New England Patriots a chance to win the AFC championship game and repeat as Super Bowl champions. For shame.Yes, Gostkowski was an important part of getting them there in the first place. Yes, he went 2 for 2 on 3-point field goals and sent all four of his (non-onside) kickoffs for touchbacks. And yes, the miss did come in the first quarter. But see, if he’d made that kick and everything else in the game played out exactly the same way over the next 47 minutes, and the Patriots — down 1 point after their counterfactual final drive — decided to kick an XP instead of going for two, and Gostkowski made that one as well, and the Patriots won in overtime, on the road, they would be getting ready for the big game right now. And in case that logic wasn’t proof enough, Gostkowski himself confessed!To some extent, this line of thinking is natural. Holding people who commit minor sins accountable for major negative results that flow from them is deeply ingrained in modern society. For example, if someone runs a red light and nothing bad happens, he may be cited and fined. But if he hits another car, he may incur civil liability and be sued for damages. If he hits and kills a pedestrian, he may open himself up to criminal liability and be prosecuted. In all three cases, the person may have committed the same sin, but its consequences would stem from the results.But if this were actually a tort case, there is no chance Gostkowski would be held responsible. Even if we presumed he did something wrong — which is a dicey proposition because some amount of human error is built into the expectation for kickers — it could never be considered a proximate cause of the Patriots’ loss, because from the perspective of expectation, things that happen early in games are all pretty fungible.For about the first two-thirds of a game, a 1-point lead is worth about the same as 20 yards of garden-variety field position. The following chart looks at game situations where both teams have all of their timeouts and an equal chance of winning before the game started. One team is at first and 10; the question is: Would that team rather have a 1-point lead and be on its own 20-yard line, or be in a tie game on the 40?2This chart uses an expected wins model created by Brian Burke of ESPN’s Stats and Info Group. 15:051st & 10Steven Jackson middle for 5 yards (tackle by Derek Wolfe). Penalty on Bryan Stork: unnecessary roughness, 15 yards-6.0% 40:213rd & 4Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Julian Edelman-5.6% 39:011st & 10Peyton Manning pass complete short right to Cody Latimer for 13 yards (tackle by Logan Ryan)-3.8% 112:543rd & 10Peyton Manning pass complete short right to Emmanuel Sanders for 11 yards (tackle by Malcolm Butler)-6.0% 47:301st & 10James White middle for -1 yards (tackle by Shaquil Barrett and Danny Trevathan)-5.1% 17:372nd & 11Peyton Manning pass complete deep middle to Owen Daniels for 21 yards, touchdown-7.7% 214:412nd & 10Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Rob Gronkowski is intercepted by Von Miller at NWE-20 and returned for 4 yards-12.7% For the most part, early in games, points and yards are practically interchangeable, and 1 point — even when it’s the difference between having a lead or not — isn’t really a big deal.3In fact, even the difference between being up 1 and up 2 early in the game is almost identical to the difference between being up 1 and tied. Aside from its point value, having the lead early just doesn’t matter much.To that end, here are the 36 plays that most hurt the Patriots’ chances of beating the Broncos, sorted by how much of an impact they had on the Patriots’ expected win probability, from Pro-Football-Reference.com’s play-by-play:4Note that their win probability model may vary slightly from Burke’s (i.e., PFR suggests Gostkowski’s missed XP hurt the Patriots’ chance of winning by 3.3 percentage points, while Burke’s model says 3 percentage points). Also, ESPN and PFR don’t always agree on the exact times when plays took place. E.g., Gostkowski’s kick appears to have taken place with 1:49 left in the quarter, but PFR records it as 1:53 — the time of the previous play. However, on the field goal by Brandon McManus in the second quarter, ESPN records the time left as 33 seconds, when the clock had been stopped at 38. Rather than going through every discrepancy, this table reflects PFR’s version of events. 111:352nd & 11Peyton Manning pass complete short right to Jordan Norwood for 13 yards (tackle by Logan Ryan)-4.5% 16:563rd & 3Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Rob Gronkowski-4.5% 42:303rd & 1Penalty on Marcus Cannon: false start, 5 yards (no play)-6.2% 10:463rd & 4Peyton Manning pass complete deep left to Emmanuel Sanders for 34 yards (tackle by Malcolm Butler)-10.5% 19:473rd & 6Peyton Manning pass incomplete short left intended for Demaryius Thomas. Penalty on Logan Ryan: defensive pass interference, 14 yards (no play)-6.0% 19:032nd & 3Peyton Manning pass complete short middle to Andre Caldwell for 15 yards (tackle by Justin Coleman)-3.4% 313:254th & 15Britton Colquitt punts 53 yards, returned by Danny Amendola for 1 yard (tackle by Cody Latimer)-5.1% 213:513rd & 6Peyton Manning pass complete short right to Owen Daniels for 12 yards, touchdown-7.6% 20:384th & 3Brandon McManus 52 yard field goal good-6.3% 46:512nd & 11Tom Brady pass incomplete deep right intended for James White-4.7% 40:124th & 4Two Point Attempt: Tom Brady pass incomplete intended for Julian Edelman, conversion fails-35.4% 36:421st & 10Tom Brady sacked by Von Miller for -6 yards-3.6% 113:173rd & 8Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Rob Gronkowski-3.6% 46:034th & 1Tom Brady pass complete short left to Julian Edelman for -1 yards (tackle by Chris Harris and Aqib Talib)-9.1% 48:231st & 10Tom Brady pass incomplete deep right intended for Rob Gronkowski-3.4% 22:344th & 14Britton Colquitt punts 48 yards, fair catch by Danny Amendola-4.3% 310:353rd & 10Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Danny Amendola (defended by Chris Harris)-4.0% 39:493rd & 10Peyton Manning right tackle for 12 yards (tackle by Logan Ryan)-8.5% 30:492nd & 10Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Julian Edelman-3.4% 30:453rd & 10Tom Brady sacked by Von Miller for -4 yards-5.8% 42:254th & 6Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Rob Gronkowski (defended by Aqib Talib)-9.7% QTRTIMEDOWNDESCRIPTIONWIN % CHANGE 24:153rd & 5Tom Brady pass incomplete deep left intended for James White is intercepted by Darian Stewart at DEN-36 and returned for 8 yards-11.1% 11:53Stephen Gostkowski kicks extra point no good-3.3% The blame game that inevitably follows close outcomes in sports (and elsewhere) can be infuriatingly good fun. But people favor easy-to-score counterfactuals over murky ones and in general don’t create ad hoc narratives along the lines of, “Wow, that incomplete pass in the third quarter cost them a chance to win that game,” even though it may have been much more consequential than an early extra point.
6Lance LynnTEX✓.486<16.8 +1.503034394449535863 Many of the other elite performers on this list are matching the mold Trout has fit all too often: great player, not-so-great team. Texas’s Mike Minor and Lance Lynn have each had unexpectedly outstanding seasons, but the Rangers are below .500 — and again, pitchers are usually undervalued in MVP voting anyway. Boston has two top-line candidates in defending MVP right fielder Mookie Betts and shortstop Xander Bogaerts (plus a third if you count third baseman Rafael Devers, who ranks 12th in AL WAR), but the champs have almost no chance of making the postseason. The best of the A’s duo, Chapman, is on pace to run nearly 3 full WAR behind Trout by year’s end. And Houston has hoarded enough elite individual performances to potentially dilute each player’s MVP case, leaving Bregman as just one of many Astros who could claim credit for the team’s blistering 104-win pace this season.Perhaps all of this is why Trout is such an overwhelming favorite in the betting odds for the award. As of Sept. 2, the money line on Trout winning MVP was -1000, which implies a 90.9 percent chance of taking home the hardware.5Before adjusting for the bookmakers’ “take” on each bet. (Running second in the odds, with a 12.5 percent implied probability, was actually DJ LeMahieu of the Yankees, who ranks only 14th in the league in WAR, followed by Bregman at 9.1 percent.)Seldom in the entire history of baseball would voters consider the best player on a 74-win team — even a player as great as Trout — worthy of the game’s top individual honor. But in a season when so many other top players are either also toiling on bad teams or facing vote-splitting amongst star teammates, Trout appears to be the choice regardless of whether you prefer the “best” or “most valuable” player as your MVP.Check out our latest MLB predictions. Mike Trout’s WAR as of Sept. 4, prorated over 162 games, was 1.9 WAR ahead of No. 2 Alex Bregman, and Bregman’s team is +.184 ahead of Trout’s in winning percentage.Source: Baseball-Reference.com, FanGraphs +3.003540444954596368 3Matt ChapmanOAK.583796.9 2Alex BregmanHOU.645>997.9 +2.003236414550556065 7Mookie BettsBOS.53636.6 (It’s worth noting that this effect is more descriptive than causal — we don’t know how Trout, or any other player, would play on a different team alongside better teammates. But for the purposes of illustration, it’s clear that MVP voters are traditionally very responsive to players on better teams, even if they have a much smaller WAR lead than Trout currently has over Bregman.)In general, MVP voters have long tended to smile more on players with solid stats on winning teams than players with dominant numbers amidst a string of defeats. Only seven modern-era MVP winners were on teams with a losing record: Giancarlo Stanton (2017), Trout (2016), Alex Rodriguez (2003), Cal Ripken Jr. (1991), Andre Dawson (1987) and Ernie Banks (1958 and 1959). And among those, only three played for a team whose record was as bad as the current Angels’ is: Trout in 2016, Rodriguez in 2003 and Ripken in 1991. Similar to his MVP bid in 2016, another Trout win would be a rare victory for great players on bad teams — and another sign that voters are redefining the way they make that distinction between the “most valuable” and “best” players.But Trout might also get some help from just how scattershot the competition is in this year’s AL MVP race. Aside from Bregman and fellow Astros Justin Verlander and George Springer, Oakland’s Matt Chapman and Marcus Semien are the only other members of the AL’s top 10 in WAR on a team with any kind of playoff odds whatsoever. WAR through games on Sept. 4, 2019.Source: Baseball-Reference.com, FanGraphs +0.5027%31%36%40%45%50%55%59% An MVP candidate can always use more team successModeled probability of a league WAR leader winning the MVP award, based on his gap over the No. 2 player in WAR and on the deficit in winning percentage between the teams of the two players The AL MVP race has a lot going onTop 10 players in the 2019 American League by wins above replacement, plus team record and playoff odds (according to the FiveThirtyEight model) 1Mike TroutLAA.461<1%9.7 +1.002933374247525661 +3.503741465156616569 +2.503338424752576266 5Mike MinorTEX✓.486<16.8 10George SpringerHOU.645>996.3 No sport loves parsing out the “best player” vs. “most valuable” argument in MVP debates more than baseball. Sure, the NBA hasn’t given its MVP to a player on a nonplayoff team since Kareem Abdul-Jabbar in 1976. But the best basketball players exert so much more influence on the game than their baseball counterparts that it’s difficult to have individual success without the team coming along for the ride. For MLB players, however, we frequently see good — and even historically great — seasons on bad teams. That creates a perfect recipe for all those endless debates about what “value” really means.Will it happen again this year? Some of the ingredients are there in the American League. AL wins above replacement1Using our JEFFBAGWELL metric to combine Baseball-Reference.com and FanGraphs WAR figures. leader Mike Trout is tracking for 9.7 WAR (prorated to 162 team games), which would once again rank among the top 100 individual campaigns by a batter since 1901. (He’s already had three of those in his eight full MLB seasons, and he came extraordinarily close to a fourth in 2013.) But his Los Angeles Angels are, once again, lousy. Our predictions think they’ll finish 20 games out of the playoff race, with a lowly 74-88 record.But before we dig in for one more round of online MVP bickering, another factor should come into play: This year’s AL MVP landscape is weird. There’s so much else going on, Trout could very well avoid too much friction along his path to putting a third Kenesaw Mountain Landis Award on his mantle.First, how big is Trout’s edge in individual value? The gap between his WAR and that of Houston Astros third baseman Alex Bregman, who ranks second in the AL, is 1.9 wins if prorated over 162 games. (That’s basically an entire season’s worth of value from an average player!) Limiting to cases in which the top two in WAR were both position players, the only league leader since 2002 with a wider gap came in the 2012 AL, when Trout himself was 2.5 wins ahead of No. 2 Robinson Cano. (Detroit’s Miguel Cabrera famously took home the MVP instead after winning the Triple Crown.) About three-quarters of WAR leaders in the modern MVP award era2Since 1931. lead the league by a smaller margin than Trout is on pace to beat Bregman by.Historically speaking, though, Trout’s MVP case would be better served if he were on a team with a slightly better record, even if his personal stats were worse. To examine this, I built a model3Using a Lasso classification regression on data since 1995. predicting a league WAR leader’s chances of winning the MVP based on his differentials (relative to the No. 2 player) in both WAR and team winning percentage.4I also accounted for whether the player was a pitcher — which significantly downgrades MVP odds after holding WAR constant — and whether the season came since WAR hit the big time as an MVP metric in 2012, which makes a WAR leader more likely to win MVP. According to the model, Trout would have better MVP odds than he currently does — with a 1.9-WAR lead on a .461 winning-percentage team — if his WAR lead got trimmed to a half-win but his team won just three or four more ballgames: WPCT Deficit 9Xander BogaertsBOS.53636.5 8Marcus SemienOAK.583796.5 WAR Lead-.200-.180-.150-.130-.100-.080-.050-.030 4Justin VerlanderHOU✓.645>996.8 RkPlayerTeamPitcher?Team WPctPlayoff OddsWAR/162
Real Madrid boss Julen Lopetegui is hopeful that Gareth Bale will be available for Saturday’s game with Levante in La LigaThe 29-year-old winger was forced to withdraw from the Wales squad over the international break after sustaining a groin injury in Real’s 1-0 defeat to Deportivo Alaves last time out.But Bale has since returned to full training with Los Blancos and Lopetegui is feeling “optimistic” about the Welshman’s chances of making the squad for this weekend.“Some players have had the chance to take the time out and get back from injuries. In the short time we’ve seen the players we think we have more players back than we had before,” Lopetegui told reporters on the club website.“We have to see what happens in training about [the game]. We’re optimistic, we’ll have to wait to see to make decisions. [With] Bale we’ll wait and see what happens in training, we’re optimistic.“Gareth’s been very responsible about his injury, he hasn’t played with the international team when he could have tried to, it’s good to see he has that responsibility and we have a good chance to get him fit.”The former Spain boss is pleased to see Isco available once more after recovering from an appendicitis problem.Quiz: How much do you know about David Villa? Boro Tanchev – September 14, 2019 Time to test your knowledge about Spanish legendary forward David Villa.“He’s a very important player, no doubt about that, like many of them, he’s had appendicitis, it’s difficult to control,” added Lopetegui.“He’s obviously someone that will come in to play and help us out in the near future.“We always want to have as many players as possible available. Of course, we’re happy to have Isco available to select for Saturday if necessary.”Although full-back Dani Carvajal will remain on the sidelines for Saturday.😎 Cool as a [email protected] | #RMCity pic.twitter.com/M4s04iE1Ap— Real Madrid C.F. 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@realmadriden) October 18, 2018
Paul Pogba has admitted he was lucky to have scored after missing from 12 yards and suggested he may have to change his approach to penalties.The Frenchman saw his spot-kick saved by Jordan Pickford, only to calmly slot in from the rebound to give United the lead.Pogba also saw his effort saved earlier this season after Joe Hart thwarted him at Turf Moor earlier in the campaign.Maguire says United need to build on today’s win George Patchias – September 14, 2019 Harry Maguire wants his United teammates to build on the victory over Leicester City.During the summer, Harry Maguire was referred to as the ultimate…And despite United’s 2-1 win over the Toffees, Pogba admits he will need to think about a change in his technique.“I was lucky,” he told the Mirror. “The important thing is it went in and I scored the goal, good for us and me. After we carried on and had other chances, most important thing was the win.“I always try and destabilize the keeper, maybe they know how I take penalties, maybe I should practice to change it, if the keepers know my step.”